Why Bitcoin Could Trade Above $22,000 After Today’s FOMC Meeting

Bitcoin is poised to expertise volatility throughout at present’s buying and selling session. The crypto market is gearing up for the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assembly which might lead to a no-event or push risk-on belongings down.

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Throughout this assembly, the Fed is anticipated to announce a hike in rates of interest. Based on buying and selling desk QCP Capital, the market has dominated out the opportunity of a 100 foundation factors (bps) enhance.

Market members anticipate a 75 bps, if the Fed meets expectations Bitcoin and different digital belongings appear more likely to resume their bullish momentum. QCP Capital stated:

Each FOMC assembly this 12 months has seen a constructive instant market response to the speed choice. We anticipate the identical for this one.

As well as, the buying and selling agency claims that there’s a chance of extra upside based mostly on the Fed adopting a “one-off 75 bps” hike. Sooner or later, the monetary establishment might return to 50 bps on the again of a decelerate in inflation metrics.

Contributing to this principle, U.S. public firms incomes season has reported underneath expectations with out main surprises up to now. Tomorrow, July 28th, Apple and different large tech firms are anticipated to publish their earnings experiences.

If there aren’t any main surprises, the crypto market ought to profit from each the FOMC assembly and a reduction in legacy monetary markets. On the latter, QCP Capital famous:

With the chance of a very hawkish fed out of the way in which and with inflation slowing down, we predict that markets will stay supported with the earlier lows offering a base (BTC at 17,600 and ETH at 880).

The post-FOMC rally might be short-lived as Bitcoin and the crypto market proceed to see excessive promoting stress from miners. In that sense, QCP Capital predicts sideways motion for the quick to mid-term.

What Might Set off Extra Draw back Strain?

The buying and selling agency believes there’s a wild card with the potential to negatively impression world markets. U.S. Consultant for Congress and Speaker of the Home Nancy Pelosi is seemingly planning a go to to Taiwan.

If the go to ever materializes, there might be an escalation in tensions between the U.S. and China. QCP Capital stated:

August tends to be quieter with the US and Europe on summer time trip. If tensions boil over, we’d see a risk-off transfer in skinny liquidity. From a volatility perspective, each FOMC this 12 months has been a disappointment.

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On the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $21,400 with a 3% revenue within the final 24 hours.

BTC’s value traits to the draw back on the 4-hour chart. Supply: BTCUSDT Tradingview

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