Proposed ETHPoW Fork Poses An Existential Threat To Ethereum. Can It Succeed?

The ETHPoW fork proposal comes from the miners. It’s solely logical that they need to hold Ethereum as a Proof-Of-Work chain, since all of their revenue will evaporate in a single day with the change to Proof-Of-Stake. The merge is supposedly solely weeks away, and the Ethereum group has their hearts set on the proposed adjustments. However, the miners have the correct to fork the chain, and that’s the place ETHPoW is available in.

Our pals at Arcane Analysis set the stage for ETHPoW of their The Weekly Replace report:

“Final week, Chinese language Ethereum miner Chandler Guo launched a marketing campaign to laborious fork the Ethereum blockchain. To start with, each chains can be similar, duplicating any holdings. Nonetheless, though the community will be technically duplicated, the worth can not.”

A 12 months in the past, we at Bitcoinist theorized about this precise state of affairs in an article titled Does DeFi Make Ethereum Unforkable? Right here Are The Information.” The ETHPoW saga wasn’t even on the horizon, however we stated:

“Although it’s conceivable that among the different tasks may keep two variations, one in every blockchain, within the case of stablecoins that is merely not attainable. Within the thought experiment, the authors use CENTRE’s USDC.

“USDC is a system of file for dollar-backed IOUs. Just one system of file can correspond to the actual liabilities of CENTRE, and so the USDC ledger is successfully meaningless on the opposite chain.”

Ethereum Mining Income: 30 Day Shifting Common | Supply: The Weekly Replace

The Future Of ETHPoW Is In The Palms Of The Stablecoin Issuers

Thus far, Tether is but to talk on the matter, however Centre stated it won’t assist ETHPoW. This makes the miners case a lot much less compelling, since because the examine we cited says, “given how deeply entangled all of it is, it’s extremely difficult to extricate it shortly and safely.” Our conclusion on the thought experiment was easy, “The incentives are plain, “all of DeFi is pressured to maneuver collectively.” And it appears like DeFi will assist the Proof-Of-Stake chain.

So, if there’s no manner that this plan goes to work for ETH miners, why are they going by with it? Again to The Weekly Replace, they pose a concept. “If stablecoins are nugatory on the PoW chain, DeFi on PoW crumbles. However some exchanges will checklist ETHPoW, inflicting hypothesis on the asset and a race to extract as a lot ETHPoW from the lifeless ecosystem as attainable.”

Is the miners’ plan that shortsighted? Or have they got an ace up their sleeves?

ETHUSD price chart for 08/09/2022 - TradingView

ETH value chart for 08/09/2022 on BinanceUS | Supply: ETH/USD on TradingView.com

Unimaginable Technical Challenges Forward

In an open letter to Ethereum miner Chandler Guo, The ETC Cooperative laid down the case in opposition to ETHPoW. And their reasoning goes into technical issues which might be above most of us’ paygrade. For instance:

“This time you will have to fork Geth (and possibly additionally Erigon, Besu and Nethermind). Every of these codebases might want to have the POS transition logic eliminated, to have the issue bomb disabled and in addition to replace the Chain ID to offer replay-protection. Mining software program will probably should be forked/up to date as properly, to offer assist for that totally different Chain ID and possibly extra. Not like the shopper code, which is public and open supply, numerous mining software program is closed supply, and you will have to influence its authors to make these adjustments after which to assist them.”

Based on the ETC Cooperative, there’s merely no time left to coordinate the whole lot that the miners would want for ETHPoW to succeed. Nonetheless, is it assured that the merge will occur in just a few weeks? The Ethereum developer staff has postponed the method a number of occasions earlier than. Do the miners know one thing we don’t? 

In any case, The Weekly Replace poses one other existential menace to the miners’ plan. Merely that, “there isn’t any group behind ETHPoW, and apparently, the checklist of ETHPoW supporters consists of both mining swimming pools or exchanges.” The precise establishments with a transparent incentive to assist the fork. “No dApps or infrastructure suppliers have publicly supported the fork. And if everybody plans to promote ETHPoW after the Merge, it’s but to be recognized the place the bids will come from.”

Have the miners not thought of all of those situations? Is the ETHPoW plan a plain money seize? And whether it is, the place will the money come from? Who will purchase what they’re promoting? Or, is there one thing we’re not contemplating? Are there backroom conferences taking place as you learn this? Will the miners shock the world?

Maintain your eye on Bitcoinist for the conclusion to this fascinating story.

Featured Picture by Do Nhu on Unsplash  | Charts by TradingView and The Weekly Replace

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